The total value of capital imported into Nigeria, in the first quarter of 2016 was $710.97 million, and it is the lowest of its kind in 8 years.
According to the
National Bureau of Statistics, the figure is the lowest since it began tracking
the inflow since 2007.
This marked a
year-on-year decline of 73.79 percent. It also represents a 54.34% decline
since the last quarter of 2015.
NBS on Wednesday
explained that both the quarterly and year on year declines were also the
lowest recorded since the series began.
“As a result of these
changes, total capital importation has fallen by 89.13% since its peak level in
the third quarter of 2014.
“The scale of the
decline in capital importation in the first quarter of 2016 is symptomatic of
the challenging period that the Nigerian economy is going through following the
fall in crude oil prices.
“Although there a
number of reasons why the amount of capital imported in recent years may have
been higher than usual (such as the inclusion of Nigerian in the JP Morgan Bond
Index, and globally low interest rates triggering a search for higher yields
over this period) the fact that the amount of capital imported has dropped to a
record low suggests that there are further reasons why Nigeria has attracted
less foreign investment in recent quarters.
“Investors may be
concerned about whether or not they will be able to repatriate the earnings
from their investments, given the current controls on the exchange rate. In
addition, as growth has slowed in recent quarters, there may be concerns about
the profitability of such investments.”
NBS further noted that
the first quarter of 2016 also saw a large change in the composition of capital
imported.
“Following a quarterly
decline in portfolio investment of 71.55% (also the largest quarterly fall on
record) portfolio investment accounted for 38.12% of total capital imported,
compared to 61.18% in the previous quarter.
“However, it remained
the largest component, as Other Investment also recorded a sharp quarterly
decline, of 44.84%, which prevented its share from rising higher than that of
portfolio investment. Whereas Other Investment accounted for 30.91% in the
final quarter of 2015, this share had risen to 37.34% in the first quarter of
2016.”
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